Three reasons Redbridge poll shows Labor back in front ahead of Federal election race | Samantha Maiden

It’s a simple graph that’s pure nightmare fuel for Peter Dutton.

After months of retaining a lead over Labor on the two-party-preferred basis that will decide the outcome of the next election, something has changed.

Labor’s red line is headed up and it’s crossing the Liberals’ on a downward trajectory.

Labor has hit the lead 51:49 for the first time in more than six months, according to the latest Redbridge polling.

The question is why and what it means for the federal election in May.

It’s still within a margin of error. It’s a reminder the election is close. Is it a blip? Or something more?

When pollsters and journalists tell you the reasons a poll is moving, they are making educated guesses.

Informed, in part, by focus groups with voters and other issues-based questions in polling, t...
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